Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 98634.260026 103948.854743 109258.105241 114956.479683 120895.768518 126900.078047 133425.309140
2025-09-21 89579.039990 97692.354085 106019.884472 115195.484203 125010.893965 135185.062659 146517.393225
2025-09-28 83066.469338 93083.358778 103586.627363 115399.193437 128291.859391 141913.900226 157372.164517
2025-10-05 79189.316730 90757.778820 103103.482427 117222.901297 132886.554820 149693.155842 169051.499789
2025-10-12 75873.037449 88690.029723 102580.226460 118698.784045 136833.071632 156548.726317 179547.435394
2025-10-19 72650.517488 86462.142280 101640.580966 119486.476809 139818.271615 162184.088805 188568.873053
2025-10-26 69457.104444 84056.382217 100309.662000 119652.017466 141944.747935 166732.072646 196273.531867
2025-11-02 66807.680477 82117.649214 99368.075360 120127.508575 144308.352919 171459.618246 204120.107284
2025-11-09 64141.964489 80021.182354 98118.817271 120129.378894 146025.082221 175370.431411 210977.919103
2025-11-16 62399.769840 78921.294101 97950.011938 121318.080390 149062.419504 180766.072796 219538.167739
2025-11-23 60095.044033 77045.805257 96773.013266 121230.910563 150529.685902 184283.609810 225879.658787
2025-11-30 58875.296878 76421.011159 97034.362008 122812.151229 153941.459817 190067.550436 234892.166739
2025-12-07 57391.607495 75435.982777 96838.879976 123837.766375 156706.306742 195131.264518 243134.685091
2025-12-14 55548.888022 73942.019300 95969.068554 123997.971299 158396.395548 198903.434849 249850.892043
2025-12-21 53839.651709 72551.505437 95169.700725 124193.399022 160089.637655 202656.198392 256540.656712
2025-12-28 53090.497495 72336.487943 95795.537808 126125.173389 163896.598768 208965.283809 266344.565665
2026-01-04 52217.572497 71925.526509 96145.833353 127690.984551 167242.118983 214720.085557 275503.708677
2026-01-11 51055.653042 71100.006916 95937.967814 128526.910413 169662.928431 219341.100381 283293.634951
2026-01-18 49654.285092 69917.443554 95236.171340 128702.576755 171231.850310 222901.467374 289784.100558
2026-01-25 48471.534509 68982.682752 94816.824591 129207.278578 173192.930003 226937.835164 296870.714316
2026-02-01 47126.790635 67792.495529 94031.254765 129209.261148 174492.431699 230138.421257 302921.617372
2026-02-08 46385.067034 67381.371114 94235.416075 130470.922773 177387.353048 235336.946738 311487.878169
2026-02-15 45109.919130 66215.268687 93419.291629 130378.406992 178526.663922 238320.308922 317281.290304